Monday, July 12, 2010

Oil Spill Forecast

I hesitate to put this up, but I think these predictions are important to keep in mind if the latest attempts to kill the well fail. The video below shows how the oil is likely to spread if the well spews for 150 days, which if I'm counting on my fingers right is around Sept. 20th.
The prediction then tracks the oil for a whole year. There are what looks like a few different predictions, depending on how currents flow this year, so be sure to watch all of them. (it's only 2 minutes.)
If they get it capped earlier than Sept maybe the devastation will be less than shown. If they don't ever get it fully capped, well, watch the video and then multiply that by however much longer that well spews.

The other thing that's starting to worry me is the effect all this oil will have on precipitation for the Southern and Eastern parts of our country. We've experienced acid rain from CO2, what do you think is going to fall from the sky after a storm sucks up oil slick water? It probably won't be good, it might be poisonous. I guess we'll just have to wait and see, but it's a bit scary.


Syeda Zehra said...

Thanks for updating..
I really though this wasn't that much serious but it IS really serious..

Anonymous said...

Hi Jennie.
Crude oil can't get into the rain that falls on land. A water spout can actually suck up water from the ocean, but those are always smaller, localized storms and all the water they pick up falls within a mile of the spout. Water vapor that goes into the clouds that drop rain on land has to evaporate. That's the only way it has enough energy to lift into the upper atmosphere. The only thing that can evaporate from crude oil is petroleum gas (mostly methane).

Jennie said...

Hey Daddy!
Yea the little bit of research I've had time to do suggests that's true for the oil. (Although rain with methane dissolved into it probably isn't real good.)
It seems like there's less known about the dispersant that is now mixed in to the mess.
There are a few reports already from the LA/MS area of possible poisonous rain.

Storm surges coated with oil slick is another way this mess could spread inland.

I'm glad they seem to have it mostly contained.